Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — odds by venue
| Outcome | Kalshi | Limitless | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 68% | 71% | 68% on Kalshi |
Venues
- Kalshi: Volume $83.3K · Liquidity $83.3K
- Limitless: Volume $0 · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
Kalshi
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Limitless
<p>This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (<a href="https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20…