Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:07:29 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (27.0%). The market has $325 in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $325
- Liquidity: $662
- Closes:
Resolution rules
As of market creation, Union Pacific is estimated to release earnings on October 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Union Pacific's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.50 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union Pacific reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.50 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Union Pacific releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted…
Sources
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