Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 03:07:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (98.4%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes98.4%98.4¢1.7¢

Prices on other venues

OutcomeVenueChanceUpdated
YesOpinion99.6%

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Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

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