Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:36:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (99.7%), October 31 (99.6%). The market has $682 in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 99.7% | 99.7¢ | 0.4¢ |
| October 31 | 99.6% | 99.6¢ | 0.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $682
- Liquidity: $51K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.