Will Abstract launch a token by ___?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:38:48 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (4.6%), June 30, 2027 (4.3%), March 31, 2027 (3.7%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December 31, 20274.6%4.6¢95.4¢
June 30, 20274.3%4.3¢95.8¢
March 31, 20273.7%3.7¢96.3¢
September 30, 20273.2%3.2¢96.8¢
December 31, 20263.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.