Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 20:57:02 UTC, Limitless traders price Democratic Party (66.8%), Republican Party (33.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 66.8% | 66.8¢ | 33.3¢ |
| Republican Party | 33.5% | 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Limitless
- Volume: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
<p><strong><em>Additional context — Updated Oct 2, 2026</em></strong></p><p><em>This market's rules have been updated for clarity.</em></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after…
Sources
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