When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 23:27:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price October 26–November 1 (29.5%), Prior to October 26 (18.0%), November 2–November 8 (17.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 26–November 1 | 29.5% | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ |
| Prior to October 26 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| November 2–November 8 | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| November 16–November 22 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| December 7–December 13 | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| December 21–December 27 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| November 9–November 15 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| No release by December 27 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| November 23–November 29 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| November 30–December 6 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| December 14–December 20 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this mark…
Sources
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