When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 22:15:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 30–December 6 (27.5%), November 9–November 15 (19.0%), December 28–January 3 (17.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 30–December 6 | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| November 9–November 15 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| December 28–January 3 | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| No release by January 31 | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
| November 23–November 29 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| January 18–January 24 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| December 21–December 27 | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| December 14–December 20 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| October 26–November 1 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| November 16–November 22 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| January 11–January 17 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Prior to October 26 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| November 2–November 8 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| December 7–December 13 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| January 25–January 31 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reportin…
Sources
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