What will the next Muse model family be named?

As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:33:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price Other (99.6%), Placeholder 13 (50.0%), Placeholder 21 (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Other99.6%99.6¢0.4¢
Placeholder 1350.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 2150.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 2250.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 650.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 2450.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1650.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 550.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 850.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 950.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1050.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1150.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1250.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1750.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Placeholder 1850.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Meta releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying release is Meta's first publicly released model of a new model family. New versions, updates, modes, variants, or re-releases of models in existing families will not qualify. Each listed option's family name is its name excluding "Muse". This market will resolve to the listed option whose family name, together with "Muse", appears in the qualifying model's official name, regardless of word order, capitalization, spacing, punctuation, or hyphenation, and regardless of accompanying modifiers such as version numbers, dates, or mode, size, or variant designations. A family name appearing only as part of a longer word will not count. If the official name contains the family names of multiple listed options, this market will resolve to the option that comes first in alphabetical order, exactly as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to "Other" if no qualifying release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the qualifying model's official name does not include "Muse", contains no word other than "Muse" and such modifiers, or contains no listed option's family name. The official name is the name under which the model is presented in Meta's primary launch announcement or, absent one, its model card. API identifiers, URL slugs, interface labels, and codenames will not be considered. Any su…

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