What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 06:14:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ 40 (99.5%), ↑ 55 (58.5%), ↑ 45 (57.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 40 | 99.5% | 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| ↑ 55 | 58.5% | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ |
| ↑ 45 | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| ↑ 50 | 55.5% | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ |
| ↑ 60 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| ↓ 35 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| ↑ 70 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| ↓ 30 | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1-minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart set to "1m" on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources
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