What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:47:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price Optimus (96.0%), Software (95.5%), Robotaxi 5+ times (95.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimus | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Software | 95.5% | 95.5¢ | 4.5¢ |
| Robotaxi 5+ times | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Robot | 94.5% | 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ |
| America | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| SpaceX | 85.5% | 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ |
| Texas | 82.5% | 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| China | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Flying Car | 55.5% | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ |
| Cybertruck | 40.5% | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ |
| Roadster 5+ times | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Rocket | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Gigafactory | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on October 21, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
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