What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 3, 2026?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 23:19:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Poll / Polling (98.0%), Ballot (94.0%), Flood / Flooding (85.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 17 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poll / Polling | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Ballot | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Flood / Flooding | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Iowa / Kansas | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Trump (5+ times) | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Helicopter | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Learjet | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Israel / Netanyahu | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Justice Department / DOJ | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Haley Stevens | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| NFL / Football | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Prediction Market | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Bird Flu | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Poll / Polling:
If any host or reporter says Poll / Polling as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution. Please see full rules for more details. Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Sources
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