What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:21:29 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↑ $6 (47.0%), ↓ $2 (34.0%), ↓ $2.5 (26.5%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $6 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| ↓ $2 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| ↓ $2.5 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| ↑ $8 | 6.6% | 6.6¢ | 93.5¢ |
| ↑ $10 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| ↑ $12 | 3.4% | 3.4¢ | 96.7¢ |
| ↑ $15 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| ↑ $20 | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↑ $6:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Sources
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