Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:17:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ashley Graham (100.0%), Barbara Palvin (100.0%), Candice Swanepoel (100.0%). The market has $55K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Graham | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Barbara Palvin | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Candice Swanepoel | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Joan Smalls | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Quen Blackwell | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Rosie Huntington-Whiteley | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Doutzen Kroes | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Alex Consani | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Bella Hadid | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Gigi Hadid | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Iris Law | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Alessandra Ambrosio | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Daiane Sodre | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Precious Lee | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Adriana Lima | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $55K
- Liquidity: $55K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ashley Graham:
If Ashley Graham is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Victoria’s Secret. Any references to Victoria’s Secret or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Victoria’s Secret and Kalshi.
Sources
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