US crude oil inventories for the week ending Sept 25, 2026

As of Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:55:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 420 million barrels (92.0%), Above 421 million barrels (91.0%), Above 422 million barrels (87.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.

Updated: Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:55:22 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Above 420 million barrels	92.0%	92.0¢	8.0¢
Above 421 million barrels	91.0%	91.0¢	9.0¢
Above 422 million barrels	87.0%	87.0¢	13.0¢
Above 425 million barrels	78.0%	78.0¢	22.0¢
Above 426 million barrels	73.0%	73.0¢	27.0¢
Above 427 million barrels	62.0%	62.0¢	38.0¢
Above 424 million barrels	59.0%	59.0¢	41.0¢
Above 423 million barrels	56.0%	56.0¢	44.0¢
Above 428 million barrels	54.0%	54.0¢	46.0¢
Above 429 million barrels	22.0%	22.0¢	78.0¢
Above 431 million barrels	18.0%	18.0¢	82.0¢
Above 430 million barrels	16.0%	16.0¢	84.0¢
Above 432 million barrels	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $2K
Liquidity: $2K
Closes: Wed, 07 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 420 million barrels:

If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Sep 25, 2026 are strictly above 420 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Sep 25, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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