United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:45:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Max Verstappen (43.0%), Andrea Kimi Antonelli (25.0%), Charles Leclerc (12.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 25 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Charles Leclerc | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Lewis Hamilton | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| George Russell | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Lando Norris | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Liam Lawson | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Fernando Alonso | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Oliver Bearman | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Valtteri Bottas | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Franco Colapinto | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Esteban Ocon | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Max Verstappen:
If Max Verstappen set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official "Final Qualifying Classification" and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position. Sprint race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market. If the qualifying session is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the qualifying session is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos,…
Sources
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