United States Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover

As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:29:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Franco Colapinto (70.0%), Gabriel Bortoleto (24.0%), Nico Hulkenberg (9.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Franco Colapinto70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Gabriel Bortoleto24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Nico Hulkenberg9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Alexander Albon8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Lance Stroll8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Fernando Alonso7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Isack Hadjar7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Carlos Sainz Jr.7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Andrea Kimi Antonelli7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Arvid Lindblad7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Valtteri Bottas7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Sergio Perez7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Oliver Bearman6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Esteban Ocon5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Pierre Gasly5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Franco Colapinto:

If Franco Colapinto has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Position Differential: Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position. Starting Grid: Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start. If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them. If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used. Final Position: Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted. If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used. Eligibility: Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison. A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison. Ties / Dead Heats: If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down…

Sources

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