United States Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:29:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Franco Colapinto (70.0%), Gabriel Bortoleto (24.0%), Nico Hulkenberg (9.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Colapinto | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Alexander Albon | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Lance Stroll | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Fernando Alonso | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Isack Hadjar | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Arvid Lindblad | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Valtteri Bottas | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Sergio Perez | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Oliver Bearman | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Esteban Ocon | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Pierre Gasly | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Franco Colapinto:
If Franco Colapinto has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Position Differential: Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position. Starting Grid: Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start. If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them. If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used. Final Position: Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted. If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used. Eligibility: Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison. A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison. Ties / Dead Heats: If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down…
Sources
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