UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)
As of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 03:21:40 UTC, Polymarket traders price Brennan in Round 1 (59.5%), Fight to Go the Distance? (50.5%), Fight won by decision? (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan in Round 1 | 59.5% | 59.5¢ | 40.5¢ |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50.5% | 50.5¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Fight won by decision? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Bashi to win by KO/TKO? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Brennan in Round 3 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Brennan to win by KO/TKO? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Fight won by submission? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Brennan in Round 2 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Bashi in Round 1 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Bashi in Round 2 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Bashi in Round 3 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $40K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Brennan in Round 1:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Brennan defeats Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sources
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.