Titled Tuesday Top 8: October 20

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:54:00 UTC, Polymarket traders price Hikaru Nakamura (52.5%), Arjun Erigaisi (27.0%), Nihal Sarin (23.5%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Hikaru Nakamura52.5%52.5¢47.5¢
Arjun Erigaisi27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Nihal Sarin23.5%23.5¢76.5¢
Hans Niemann22.5%22.5¢77.5¢
Vincent Keymer21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Denis Lazavik20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Jan-Krzysztof Duda20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Javokhir Sindarov18.5%18.5¢81.5¢
Wesley So17.5%17.5¢82.5¢
Zhamsaran Tsydypov16.5%16.5¢83.5¢
Sina Movahed16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Fabiano Caruana16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Magnus Carlsen15.5%15.5¢84.5¢
Christopher Yoo15.5%15.5¢84.5¢
Nodirbek Abdusattorov15.5%15.5¢84.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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