Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 13, 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:02:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 69,000 MW (100.0%), Above 69,500 MW (100.0%), Above 76,000 MW (98.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:02:37 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Above 69,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 69,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 76,000 MW	98.0%	98.0¢	2.0¢
Above 70,000 MW	95.0%	95.0¢	5.0¢
Above 73,000 MW	86.0%	86.0¢	14.0¢
Above 75,000 MW	86.0%	86.0¢	14.0¢
Above 75,500 MW	77.0%	77.0¢	23.0¢
Above 72,500 MW	64.0%	64.0¢	36.0¢
Above 72,000 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 74,500 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 73,500 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 70,500 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 71,000 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 71,500 MW	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Above 74,000 MW	62.0%	62.0¢	38.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $26K
Liquidity: $26K
Closes: Tue, 20 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 69,000 MW:

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 12, 2026 is above 69,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 12, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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