"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:16:20 UTC, Polymarket traders price <970m (98.9%), 975 - 980m (0.9%), 970 - 975m (0.7%). The market has $59K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
<970m98.9%98.9¢1.1¢
975 - 980m0.9%0.9¢99.1¢
970 - 975m0.7%0.7¢99.4¢
985 - 990m0.5%0.5¢99.5¢
990m+0.4%0.4¢99.6¢
980 - 985m0.4%0.4¢99.7¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Sources

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