South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:56:36 UTC, Polymarket traders price 2.5–2.9% (34.5%), 3.0–3.4% (29.5%), 2.0–2.4% (12.5%). The market has $62K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–2.9% | 34.5% | 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ |
| 3.0–3.4% | 29.5% | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ |
| 2.0–2.4% | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| 3.5–3.9% | 11.2% | 11.2¢ | 88.8¢ |
| <2.0% | 4.1% | 4.1¢ | 95.9¢ |
| 4.0–4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 4.5–4.9% | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 5.0%+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $62K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any r…
Sources
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