Soda point of sale spend array index in October 2026

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:09:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 88 (98.0%), Above 90 (98.0%), Above 84 (98.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 8898.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 9098.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 8498.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 8698.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 9297.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 9495.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 9676.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 9840.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 10026.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Above 1025.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 1044.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 1063.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1083.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1103.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 88:

If the Carbon Arc Soda point of sale spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 88, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Soda Brands Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 2nd. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Soda Brands Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=c6eb419d-6f74-41c4-ab20-6c34602f593f&entity=Soda+Brands. The underlying metric is convenience-store point-of-sale spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Dr. Pepper, Sprite, each weighted 1/5. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured convenience-store point-of-sale spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.