Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:10:48 UTC, Polymarket traders price John Malkovich (95.0%), Matt Damon (93.7%), Andrew Scott (90.5%). The market has $96K in volume and closes on Thu, 21 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
John Malkovich95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Matt Damon93.7%93.7¢6.3¢
Andrew Scott90.5%90.5¢9.5¢
Tom Cruise52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
John Turturro47.5%47.5¢52.5¢
Anthony Ippolito47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Ryan Gosling45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
Robert Pattinson34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
Sebastian Stan20.5%20.5¢79.5¢
Pedro Pascal14.8%14.8¢85.2¢
Jaafar Jackson14.5%14.5¢85.5¢
Timothée Chalamet13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Sam Rockwell5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Josh O'Connor4.9%4.9¢95.2¢
Javier Bardem4.6%4.6¢95.4¢

Market details

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.