Next Qwen Max Model (3.9+): Text Arena Debut?
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:37:16 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1460+ (85.5%), 1480+ (41.5%), 1500+ (40.5%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1460+ | 85.5% | 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ |
| 1480+ | 41.5% | 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ |
| 1500+ | 40.5% | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ |
| 1520+ | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Alibaba Qwen Max model (3.9+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presente…
Sources
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