Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:46:30 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 8 (43.0%), November 9 (35.0%), November 11 (34.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 8 | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| November 9 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| November 11 | 34.5% | 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ |
| November 10 | 33.5% | 33.5¢ | 66.5¢ |
| November 7 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| November 13 | 19.5% | 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ |
| November 16 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| November 26 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| November 20 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| November 19 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| November 12 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| November 14 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| November 23 | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| November 30 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| November 15 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualif…
Sources
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