Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:35:43 UTC, Polymarket traders price October 29 (26.5%), On or prior to October 23 (26.0%), October 27 (24.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 29 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| On or prior to October 23 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| October 27 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| No release by November 30 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| October 24 | 19.5% | 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ |
| November 4 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| October 26 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| November 20 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| October 30 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| October 28 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| November 3 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| November 6 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| November 9 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| November 11 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| November 29 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this mark…
Sources
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