Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.7+): Text Arena Debut?
As of Sat, 15 Aug 2026 17:24:46 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1490+ (99.5%), 1480+ (98.3%), 1495+ (0.1%). The market has $5K in volume.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1490+ | 99.5% | 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| 1480+ | 98.3% | 98.3¢ | 1.8¢ |
| 1495+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 1500+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 1510+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $72K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying Google Gemini model must have “Flash” in its displayed model name and be designated as version 3.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, gemini-3.7-flash, gemini-3.8-flash, or gemini-4.0-flash-preview, or similar would qualify. Models whose displayed name does not include “Flash,” or which retain a version designation below 3.7, such as gemini-3.0-flash-high, gemini-3.5-flash, or gemini-3.6-flash-preview, will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked “AutoEval” will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the “AutoEval” label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model wil…
Sources
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