Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 22:06:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price No release by October 31 (96.7%), October 20 (1.3%), October 27 (1.1%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| No release by October 31 | 96.7% | 96.7¢ | 3.3¢ |
| October 20 | 1.3% | 1.3¢ | 98.7¢ |
| October 27 | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| October 30 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| October 23 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| October 24 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| October 26 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| October 21 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| October 28 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| October 29 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| October 22 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| October 25 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| October 31 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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