National Book Award for Nonfiction
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground (62.0%), Mother Tongue (44.0%), Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood (44.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Thu, 19 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Mother Tongue | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Tie | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground:
If 'Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
Sources
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