National Book Award for Fiction
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tie (96.0%), Python’s Kiss (73.0%), Passengers (46.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 19 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Python’s Kiss | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Passengers | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Mad Eden | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Pretend You’re Dead and I Carry You | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| The Renovation | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Paradiso 17 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Beginning Middle End | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Dèy | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Red Ants | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| The Disappearers | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tie:
If 'Tie' wins the award for Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
Sources
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