NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Qualifying Session: Pole Position

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:34:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Casey Mears (58.0%), Justin Haley (58.0%), Carson Hocevar (54.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.

Updated: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:34:34 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Casey Mears	58.0%	58.0¢	42.0¢
Justin Haley	58.0%	58.0¢	42.0¢
Carson Hocevar	54.0%	54.0¢	46.0¢
Denny Hamlin	23.0%	23.0¢	77.0¢
Ty Gibbs	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Tyler Reddick	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Chase Elliott	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢
Daniel Suárez	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢
Austin Cindric	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
Bubba Wallace	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
Joey Logano	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢
Alex Bowman	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢
Brad Keselowski	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢
Corey Heim	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢
Erik Jones	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $1K
Liquidity: $1K
Closes: Sun, 08 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Casey Mears:

If Casey Mears has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the qualifying race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If NASCAR declares co-pole-sitters without applying a tie-breaker, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied competitors, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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