How many jobs added in October?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:51:48 UTC, Polymarket traders price 100k+ (31.5%), 75k to 100k (22.8%), 50k to 75k (14.5%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Sat, 07 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
100k+31.5%31.5¢68.5¢
75k to 100k22.8%22.8¢77.3¢
50k to 75k14.5%14.5¢85.5¢
25k to 50k12.5%12.5¢87.5¢
0 to 25k11.2%11.2¢88.8¢
-25k to 05.0%5.0¢95.0¢
<-25k4.3%4.3¢95.8¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Sources

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