Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 22:12:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.6%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $674
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "No change" option's hourly odds value in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the "Hike 25 bps" option being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "Hike 25 bps" option or the "No change" option in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing before October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both the…
Sources
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