GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 20:35:33 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1430+ (80.5%), 1440+ (71.5%), 1450+ (44.5%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1430+ | 80.5% | 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ |
| 1440+ | 71.5% | 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ |
| 1450+ | 44.5% | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ |
| 1460+ | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| 1470+ | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considere…
Sources
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