Gemini Argon released on...?
As of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 17:18:24 UTC, Polymarket traders price October 24 (0.1%), October 23 (0.1%), October 29 (0.1%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Sun, 25 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 24 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 23 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 29 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 20 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 28 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 31 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 21 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 19 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 25 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 22 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 26 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 27 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| October 30 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| No release by October 31 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $77K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's "Gemini Argon," or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Argon," or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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