FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in November 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Magnus Carlsen (95.0%), Javokhir Sindarov (95.0%), Hikaru Nakamura (95.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Fabiano Caruana | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Wesley So | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Vincent Keymer | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Anish Giri | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Alireza Firouzja | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Liren Ding | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Leinier Domínguez Pérez | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Magnus Carlsen:
If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the November 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes. According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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