Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac
As of Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:04:44 UTC, Polymarket traders price Game Spread +/-2.5 (58.5%), Set 1 O/U 9.5 (53.5%), Match O/U 21.5 (50.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game Spread +/-2.5 | 58.5% | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| Match O/U 21.5 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Set 2 Winner | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Completed Match | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Match O/U 22.5 | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 41.5% | 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ |
| Match O/U 23.5 | 41.5% | 41.5¢ | 58.5¢ |
| Set 1 Winner | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac | Kalshi | 30.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $60K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Game Spread +/-2.5:
This market will resolve to "Tomas Machac" if Tomas Machac wins 2.5 or more total games than Fabian Marozsan in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fabian Marozsan". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Tomas Machac could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Fabian Marozsan". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.