Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:02:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price No change (57.5%), 50+ bps increase (19.4%), 25 bps increase (15.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 18 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
No change57.5%57.5¢42.5¢
50+ bps increase19.4%19.4¢80.7¢
25 bps increase15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
25 bps decrease10.3%10.3¢89.8¢
50+ bps decrease5.2%5.2¢94.8¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If th…

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