Brazil Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:53:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Liam Lawson (85.0%), Andrea Kimi Antonelli (75.0%), Fernando Alonso (70.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawson | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Fernando Alonso | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Arvid Lindblad | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Franco Colapinto | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Pierre Gasly | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Max Verstappen | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Alexander Albon | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Lance Stroll | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Oliver Bearman | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Lando Norris | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Lewis Hamilton | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Liam Lawson:
If Liam Lawson has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at the 2026 Brazil Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. Position Differential: Differential = official starting grid position − official final classified position. Starting Grid: Uses the official FIA starting grid, including any grid penalties applied before the start. If a driver starts from the pit lane, their starting position is one lower than the last regularly gridded driver, unless the FIA publishes a specific numeric grid position for them. If the race is red-flagged and restarted, the original starting grid is used. Final Position: Uses the official FIA classification, including post-race time penalties and disqualifications published before expiration. Later changes or appeals are not counted. If a driver retires but FIA still assigns them a classified finishing position, that position is used. Eligibility: Only drivers with both an official starting grid position and an official numeric classified finishing position are eligible to resolve Yes and are included in the comparison. A driver who does not participate, does not start (DNS), or has no numeric classified position (e.g., an unclassified DNF or a DSQ) resolves No and is excluded from the comparison. Ties / Dead Heats: If multiple drivers tie for the greatest signed differential, Yes pays $1/N (rounded down to the neare…
Sources
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