Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:38:52 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (45.5%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $37K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources
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