Bank of Brazil Decision in January?

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 00:50:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price No Change (59.5%), 50+ bps decrease (25.5%), 50+ bps increase (10.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
No Change59.5%59.5¢40.5¢
50+ bps decrease25.5%25.5¢74.5¢
50+ bps increase10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
25 bps increase7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
25 bps decrease2.9%2.9¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the January 2027 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its January 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for January 26 and January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's January 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or…

Sources

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