Bank of Brazil decision in December?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:24:20 UTC, Polymarket traders price 25 bps decrease (55.5%), 50+ bps decrease (20.0%), No Change (20.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 09 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 55.5% | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ |
| 50+ bps decrease | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| No Change | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 50+ bps increase | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
| 25 bps increase | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Incr…
Sources
Related markets
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Decision in December?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Largest Company end of October 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.