Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Harry Kane (99.0%), Lamine Yamal (99.0%), Kylian Mbappé (98.0%). The market has $45K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Harry Kane	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Lamine Yamal	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Kylian Mbappé	98.0%	98.0¢	2.0¢
Dayot Upamecano	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
Sadio Mané	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
Rodri	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
Willian Pacho	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
Lionel Messi	96.0%	96.0¢	4.0¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	94.0%	94.0¢	6.0¢
William Saliba	88.0%	88.0¢	12.0¢
Michael Olise	87.0%	87.0¢	13.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé	87.0%	87.0¢	13.0¢
Marquinhos	81.0%	81.0¢	19.0¢
Erling Haaland	77.0%	77.0¢	23.0¢
Fabián Ruiz	66.0%	66.0¢	34.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $45K
Liquidity: $45K
Closes: Tue, 27 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Harry Kane:

If Harry Kane is ranked top 10 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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