Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 18:33:16 UTC, Limitless traders price Democrats Sweep (64.5%), Other (50.0%), R Senate, D House (27.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats Sweep | 64.5% | 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ |
| Other | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| R Senate, D House | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| Republicans Sweep | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| D Senate, R House | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Limitless
- Volume: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
<p><em>Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026</em></p><p><em>This market's rules have been updated for clarity.</em></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404);">A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.</span></p><p><br></p><p><span style="color: lab(15.4544 -0.764295 -4.69404)…
Sources
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