Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 23:44:42 UTC, Polymarket traders price Set Handicap +/-1.5 (59.5%), Game Spread +/-4.5 (55.0%), Completed Match (53.5%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 59.5% | 59.5¢ | 40.5¢ |
| Game Spread +/-4.5 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Completed Match | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| Set 2 Winner | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Match O/U 23.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Match O/U 22.5 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Match O/U 21.5 | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Set 1 Winner | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $38K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Set Handicap +/-1.5:
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tomas Machac" if Tomas Machac wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tomas Machac can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Sources
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