Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 24, 2026

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:14:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 82,500 MW (100.0%), Above 81,500 MW (100.0%), Above 85,000 MW (100.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.

Updated: Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:14:16 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Above 82,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 81,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 85,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 84,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 81,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 80,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 80,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 82,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 83,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 83,500 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 84,000 MW	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Above 86,500 MW	1.0%	1.0¢	99.0¢
Above 88,000 MW	1.0%	1.0¢	99.0¢
Above 87,500 MW	1.0%	1.0¢	99.0¢
Above 88,500 MW	1.0%	1.0¢	99.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $26K
Liquidity: $26K
Closes: Thu, 01 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 82,500 MW:

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 23, 2026 is above 82,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 23, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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