Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 5, 2026

As of Sun, 04 Oct 2026 22:21:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 58,000 MW (63.0%), Above 58,500 MW (62.0%), Above 59,000 MW (62.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Mon, 12 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 58,000 MW63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
Above 58,500 MW62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Above 59,000 MW62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Above 62,000 MW40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 64,500 MW39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
Above 65,500 MW38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Above 66,000 MW38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Above 67,000 MW38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Above 65,000 MW37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Above 66,500 MW36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Above 60,000 MW32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 59,500 MW28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
Above 60,500 MW22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Above 61,500 MW10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Above 63,000 MW10.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.