Tesla deliveries next quarter
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:54:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 300,000 (96.0%), Above 225000 (95.0%), Above 275000 (94.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 300,000 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 225000 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 275000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 250000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 325,000 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 350,000 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 375,000 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 400,000 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Above 425,000 | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 450,000 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 475,000 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 500,000 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 525,000 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 550,000 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 575,000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 300,000:
If Tesla reports Above 300000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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