Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 6

As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:13:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hikaru Nakamura (50.0%), Denis Lazavik (36.0%), Aleksei Sarana (27.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Hikaru Nakamura50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Denis Lazavik36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Aleksei Sarana27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Dmitry Andreikin27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Arjun Erigaisi23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Sina Movahed22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Jan-Krzysztof Duda20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Fabiano Caruana20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Vincent Keymer19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Jeffery Xiong19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Alireza Firouzja19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Parham Maghsoodloo18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Pranav Venkatesh18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Zhamsaran Tsydypov16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Wesley So16.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hikaru Nakamura:

If Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 8 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026. The format of the event is blitz, and is a Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds. If Hikaru Nakamura does not participate in the event, then their market will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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